This presentation will introduce the latest version of ‘Estuarine Mapping’, a technique that maps what can be changed and at what cost. It then focuses on changing the environment (or substrate) so it is more favourably disposed to a good outcome. It will include new work on risk portfolio management, identifying lead indicators on potential project failure and creating better systems to handle unknowable, and sometimes unimaginable, unknowns. This will update and extend the work in the EU Field Guide on managing in the complexity (and chaos) of which the speaker was the principal author.

He is the principal author of a joint publication between the Cynefin Centre and the Future Systems Directorate of the European Union: ' Managing complexity (and chaos) in times of crisis—a field guide for decision-makers. A review by Durham University identified him as one of the leaders in applying complexity science or organisations.He has created many methods and frameworks, including th...